AI + Human Partnership

Human-in-the-Loop

AI Augments, Humans Decide

Not about replacement—about expanding what's possible. AI scans the vast universe of risk scenarios so humans can focus on what matters: judgment.

The Scenario Space

Universe of Risk Scenarios
AI-Expanded Coverage
Human Capacity

AI expands the area humans can meaningfully review

The Capacity Gap

Most Risks Are Invisible Due to Capacity

Risk management is fundamentally about anticipating future scenarios. The universe of potential futures—market combinations, counterparty failures, regulatory changes, operational breakdowns—is vastly larger than any human team can scan.

Most risks aren't ignored due to negligence. They're invisible because there simply isn't enough human capacity to review them all.

The Hard Truth

A typical risk team can deeply analyze perhaps 50-100 scenarios per quarter. The space of "extreme but plausible" scenarios? Thousands. AI doesn't replace judgment—it expands what humans can see.

Real-World Example

Stress Testing: The Scenario Design Problem

Regulators expect banks to test against "extreme but plausible" scenarios. But what does that really look like in practice?

Today's Reality
  • Each scenario design takes days of expert time—combining macro factors, translating to market moves, calibrating severity
  • Banks typically run 10-20 scenarios for annual stress tests
  • The universe of plausible combinations is thousands
  • Teams inevitably recycle last year's scenarios with minor updates
🚀With AI Augmentation
  • AI generates hundreds of candidate scenarios across macro combinations
  • Screens for plausibility and severity—flagging novel risk concentrations
  • Surfaces scenarios that humans would never have time to consider
  • Risk experts select and refine the most relevant for deep analysis

AI generates and screens thousands. Humans judge which matter.

AI Contribution

What AI Expands

AI dramatically increases the capacity for intelligent risk work across four dimensions

📊

Volume

Monitor more positions, counterparties, and scenarios simultaneously. Review thousands where humans could review dozens.

Speed

Real-time pattern detection versus end-of-day batch analysis. Surface emerging risks as they develop, not after the fact.

🔍

Pattern Recognition

Find correlations across larger datasets and longer histories. Detect relationships that would take humans weeks to uncover.

🌐

Scenario Generation

Explore more future possibilities and stress combinations. Generate candidate scenarios that would never occur to time-constrained humans.

Irreplaceable Human Value

What Humans Provide

Just as artistic "taste" cannot be replicated by AI, risk judgment requires capabilities that remain uniquely human

Risk Judgment

Weighing competing priorities under genuine uncertainty. Deciding when the model output doesn't feel right, even if the numbers look fine.

Accountability

Final decisions require human ownership. Regulators expect a human to stand behind every material risk decision—and they should.

Institutional Context

Understanding stakeholder dynamics, regulatory relationships, and organizational history that no model can capture.

Strategic Trade-offs

Balancing risk appetite with business objectives. Making calls about which risks are worth taking for the right return.

"Knowing When Models Miss the Point"

The equivalent of artistic taste in risk management. Recognizing when quantitative answers miss qualitative reality. Sensing when a scenario "smells wrong" even if the math checks out. This is accumulated wisdom that cannot be taught to a machine.

Implementation

How It Works in Practice

Concrete mechanisms that keep humans in control while leveraging AI capabilities

📊

Confidence Scoring

Every AI output includes a confidence level. High confidence items can proceed with light review. Low confidence automatically triggers deeper human analysis.

High confidence (>90%)Light review
Medium (70-90%)Standard review
Low (<70%)Deep analysis required
🚦

Review Gating

Certain decision types always require human approval, regardless of AI confidence. Material limit breaches, new product approvals, regulatory submissions—humans sign off.

→ Limit exception requests
→ New counterparty approvals
→ Model change sign-offs
→ Regulatory report submissions
📝

Audit Trails

Every AI recommendation and human decision is logged with full context. Complete traceability for regulatory examination or internal review.

What was recommended? What did the human decide? Why? All recorded.
🔔

Escalation Workflows

Automatic escalation when thresholds are breached or anomalies detected. The right humans are notified immediately—no buried alerts.

Threshold breach → Team lead → Risk officer → CRO (as severity warrants)
The Outcome

Better Decisions, Not Just Faster Decisions

Broader Coverage

Review more scenarios, monitor more positions, detect more patterns—without adding headcount or burning out your team.

Maintained Rigor

Human judgment applied where it matters most. AI handles volume; humans handle decisions that require wisdom.

Focus on Judgment

Risk professionals spend time on analysis and decision-making, not data wrangling and report generation.

Regulatory Defensibility

Humans remain accountable. Full audit trails. Clear decision ownership. Regulators see enhanced control, not abdication.

AI doesn't replace risk professionals. It makes them more effective.